A recent NAR housing market tracker shows there is a sufficient supply of homes in many markets. However, prices are likely to rise more quickly in some areas and for certain types of housing than others. In addition, the Federal Reserve is signaling an intention to raise interest rates and pull back from its financial support for the bond market. While initial predictions were for incremental increases in 2022, most experts do not believe rates will start rising until 2023.
Fannie Mae
Fannie Mae regularly releases home price forecasts. One of the most recent predictions is that home prices will rise 11.2% in 2022. That’s about half the pace of 2021. While there are periodic drops in home prices, like during the Great Recession, home prices generally increase over time.
The rise in home prices is largely due to a shortage of housing supply. whats a good sell my home fast for cash and labor shortages have made new house construction difficult. In recent years, this has kept prices low, but shortages in supply could mean continued price increases. Fannie Mae recently projected a 10.8% increase in house prices in 2022 – a marked improvement from its previous forecast of 7.6%. The firm’s forecasts are subject to daily fluctuations, so it is important to keep an eye on the latest data.
The latest Fannie Mae Economic and Housing Outlook also outlines some of the key factors that will drive house prices. According to the report, the Fed’s efforts to fight inflation are already having an impact on housing. The rise in mortgage rates is curbing refinancing activity.
Fannie Mae’s Chief Economist, Doug Duncan, recently spoke on Yahoo Finance Live about the future of the housing market. Specifically, Duncan discussed what he expects to happen to the housing market in 2022.
Freddie Mac
Low interest rates and a shortage of housing inventory are fueling the housing market. But with an expected increase in mortgage rates, home prices may slow down, Freddie Mac says. Mortgage rates will likely rise to 4% by 2022, reducing the pool of potential homebuyers. This slowdown could stabilize home prices. Overall, Freddie Mac expects house prices to increase in 2022.
The housing market is different today than it was in the early 2000s. Sub-prime loans and the sale of mortgage-backed securities to unqualified homeowners caused the Great Recession. The current housing boom is driven by a lack of single-family housing, but this trend will slow once the number of available homes increases. Freddie Mac’s economic forecast team says that double-digit increases in home prices will persist through 2022, but will slow down in 2023.
Rising interest rates and a weak economy have slowed down the demand for housing. The increased demand for housing in recent years is unsustainable. Freddie Mac predicts that home prices will rise 7.6% in 2022, but that increase will be limited. Mortgage rates have reached their highest level since the housing pandemic. Rising interest rates will slow down home price growth after an initial period of low growth.
Interest rates will increase throughout the year. While real estate experts had predicted that interest rates would top three percent in 2021, they only broke that range. In August 2022, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average was 5.55%, a small increase from the previous year. It is now at 5.55%, up about 2% from six months ago.
Zandi
If you’re looking to buy a home in the near future, it’s important to understand what’s happening in housing markets. The cost of homes is rising, and the inventory of houses on the market is increasing. The increased supply of homes will be good news for buyers, as more homeowners will be looking to update their living arrangements and take advantage of a favorable market.
However, there are risks. Interest rates are expected to rise, which could cause fewer home buyers and lower house prices. Other factors that could affect home prices include supply chain issues that slow housing delivery and labor shortages. The recent rise in interest rates has made it more expensive to buy a home.
In addition, the supply of new homes is tight, as only half are being built today. Meanwhile, experts are predicting a 3.6% increase in 30-year mortgage rates in 2022. While this figure is still low, it’s higher than six months ago. This means new buyers will pay higher interest rates on their new mortgages.
New federal regulations are expected to end the sale of exotic mortgages, which had adjustable loan rates. This was a risky option 15 years ago. The new rules will require borrowers to prove their affordability.
Del Aria Investments & Holdings
11166 Fairfax Blvd Suite 500, Fairfax, VA 22030
(703) 936-4331
https://delariainvestments.com/
June 3, 2023